Friday, July 17, 2009

You Can Keep Your Private Insurance ... Or Maybe Not!

According to President Hopenchange, “First of all, if you’ve got health insurance, you like your doctors, you like your plan, you can keep your doctor, you can keep your plan. Nobody is talking about taking that away from you.” But it appears that the healthcare bill does just that.

On page 16 of the bill, "Except as provided in this paragraph, the individual health insurance issuer offering such coverage does not enroll any individual in such coverage if the first effective date of coverage is on or after the first day”. In other words, you can only keep what you got if on a private insurance plan. You cannot modify it, you cannot change to another plan, and if you leave one employer to work for another say goodbye to your private insurance and hello to the government option.

Articles relating to this are at Investor’s Business Daily, ABC, Heritage Foundation along with many others.

SSA Spends $700K on Conference

Are you one of those people pissed off that corporate executives and other high-income earners are provided company sponsored vacations or trips for conferences? The individuals that should really care are the company shareholders because each dollar spent by the company is another dollar not available to the owners of the company—the shareholders.

If that got you in a tizzy, check out what our wonderful Social Security Administration spent on their recent trip to Phoenix, $700,000 to stay at a “high-end Valley resort.” If you are not pissed off by that, you are not paying attention!

full article here

Pelosi: We'll pay down the deficit

"House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Thursday that Democrats could use a proposed new tax on the wealthy to pay down the deficit, if there's money left over after funding healthcare reform." full article here

Does she have any idea that perhaps, just perhaps, the cost will be greater than anticipated? When, other than the Hoover Dam, which I got to tour earlier this year, has a government program EVER cost less than anticipated?

So, when we realize that the costs are larger than expected we will institute a new tax on the wealthy to keep from adding to the deficit--just don't tell anyone **shhhhh**

Thursday, July 16, 2009

Budget deficit per source

Unemployment, worse than you thought

The traditional measure of unemployment is the U3, which does not measure those that have gone back to work part-time to pay the bills until they get a full-time job that they desire.

Here are the different measurements of uemployment:

U1: Percentage of labor force unemployed 15 weeks or longer.

U2: Percentage of labor force who lost jobs or completed temporary work.

U3: Official unemployment rate per ILO definition.

U4: U3 + "discouraged workers", or those who have stopped looking for work because current economic conditions make them believe that no work is available for them.

U5: U4 + other "marginally attached workers", or "loosely attached workers", or those who "would like" and are able to work, but have not looked for work recently.

U6: U5 + Part time workers who want to work full time, but cannot due to economic reasons.

The NY Times has an interesting chart on unemployment by state.

Healthcare Bill

Healthcare bill ... in case you got lots of time on your hands

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

The Policy Vacuum

The fundamental tenet of the liberal mind is this belief that big government is preferred to, not to mention superior to, small government. Since the ideology of big government is persistent in the liberal mind, it is axiomatic therefore, that government is more effective and efficient in allocating resources. Thus, it is acceptable for the government to legally “steal” your money at the point of a gun and disperse it according to the will of the political class at that time.

Unfortunately, politicians do not comprehend that their actions and decisions do not occur in a vacuum. The repercussions of their actions are typically far more disastrous than those created by their inaction. Think regulations for a moment. The collapse of several large banking institutions, along with many smaller ones, have created the idea that banks must refrain from certain levels of financial risk by maintaining government "approved" reserve levels. Therefore, if a bank loses money on subprime mortgage lending, for example, the reserve may dip below the required level for “safety.” The bank then sells additional subprime mortgage loans to shore up the reserve but in doing so pushes down the price of those loans in the market, which further depresses the bank’s assets and so on.

Politicians also perceive income taxation to occur in a vacuum. If the tax rate is raised or the tax base expanded the political hacks believe that they will increase tax revenue to the government. However, new confiscatory tax schemes cause taxpayers to make attempts in sheltering their income, postponing income recognition, or through other measures. This economic reality is exemplified by the “Laffer Curve,” more details here

Arthur Laffer, popularized the basic notion in the 1980's that increases in the rate of taxation do not necessarily increase tax revenue. His common sense theory posits that there a "sweet spot" in overall taxation rates that maximizes tax revenue to the government. Cross that line and people tend to work less causing lowering productivity, decreasing innovation, destroying incentive, and creating a burgeoning welfare state.

The common opinion today is that the government is operating well into the right side of the curve, the shape of which causes decreases in government revenue with each announcement of a new spending program proposed by the current leadership with its impact on the opportunity costs for individuals and businesses to make money.

The main concern currently is that Pres. Hopenchange, along with key liberals, most likely don't care about the ramifications of the Laffer Curve because the politics of "making the rich pay their fair share"--regardless of the fact that about 50% of the American public don't pay ANY income tax--is an overriding concern in their liberal belief system which is centered around the ideals of equality and fairness.